Nintendo's FY2026

[heroeskillrats]

My own observations:
More or less the expected results in my opinion. Nintendo really needed a new system seller like Ocarina of Time. DKB has done fine, Splatoon Raiders did great sales for a spinoff, Star Fox did fine.
I think Nintendo might have had bigger hopes for DK being a bigger system seller but on the other hand it could just mean that people are simply waiting for the right game to come along. I expect big changes in 2027 because that's the year of 3D Mario and Pokemon and huge third party games. They'll make a big difference in how the system sells.

updated sales numbers as of September 30, 2026 (+sales in the last quarter):

• Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 72.00M (+470K)
• Animal Crossing: New Horizons - 50.63M (+340K)
• Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 38.50M (+360K)
• The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 34.28M (+220K)
• Super Mario Odyssey - 31.06M (+260K)
• Pokémon Scarlet and Violet - 28.66M (+200K)
• Pokémon Sword and Shield - 27.36M (+100K)
• The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom - 22.90M (+190K)
• Super Mario Party - 21.39M (+30K)
• New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe - 19.22M (+120K)
• Mario Kart World - 16.48M (+1.09M)
• Tomodachi Life: Living the Dream - 8.83M (+870K)
• Donkey Kong Bananza - 5.05M (+270K)
• Pokémon Legends: Z-A – Nintendo Switch 2 Edition - 4.04M (+50K)
• Pokémon Pokopia - 4.04M (+360K) (sales outside Japan)
• Rhythm Heaven Groove - 2.89M
• Splatoon Raiders - 2.42M
• Kirby Air Riders - 1.94M (+40K)
• Fire Emblem: Fortune's Weave - 1.34M
• Super Mario Party Jamboree – Nintendo Switch 2 Edition - 1.28M (+130K)
• Star Fox - 1.17M

edit:

• total sales of Pokémon Legends Z-A (Switch and Switch 2 editions) are at 13.31 million units
• total sales of Super Mario Party Jamboree (Switch and Switch 2 editions) are at 12.01 million units

Switch 2 Hardware

Switch 2 Hardware Q2: 2,67m
Regional Split Q2: Japan 0.38m, Americas 1.05m, Europe 0.49m, Other 0.76m

Switch 2 Hardware Total: 26.35m
Regional Split Total: Japan 7.07m, Americas 9.00m, Europe 5.85m, Other 4.42m

Switch 2 Software

Switch 2 Software Q2: 15.04m
Regional Split Q2: Japan 4.14m, Americas 5.64m, Europe 4.07m, Other 1.18m
Tie Ratio Q2: 5.63

Switch 2 Software Total: 73.21m
Regional Split Total: Japan 20.30m, Americas 26.62m, Europe 18.47m, Other 7.82m
Tie Ratio Total: 2.78

Global Shipment History (millions)

Switch Hardware

Switch Hardware Q2: 0.61m
Regional Split Q2: Japan 0.12m, Americas 0.32, Europe 0.08m, Other 0.08m
Model Variants Q2: Standard 0.17m, Lite 0.12m, Oled 0.31m

Switch Hardware Total: 157.20m
Regional Split Total: Japan 38.67m, Americas 60.13m, Europe 40.22m, Other 18.18m
Model Variants Total: Standard 97.95m, Lite 26.71m, Oled 32.53m

Switch Software

Switch Software Q1: 31.92m
Regional Split Q1: Japan 7.31m, Americas 13.43m, Europe 8.44m, Other 2.73m
Tie Ratio Q1: 52.33

Switch Software Total: 1593.87m
Regional Split Total: Japan 317.87m, Americas 689.86m, Europe 460.22m, Other 125.92m
Tie Ratio Total: 10.14

Global Shipment History (millions)

Switch has now past an average of 10 games sold per console (10.14), up from last quarters 9.97.

 

[heroeskillrats]

My prediction is that 3D Mario will be announced at the February direct and it's a summer release.
It'd be a huge boost in HW sales, I think Nintendo obviously wants that because they must know lots of people are waiting to upgrade but the sooner they upgrade the better. Not to mention put way more pressure on Sony because people spending money on SW locks them in harder to the Nintendo ecosystem. NS2 came out in June 2025 and MKW was the launch game but DKB came out 1 month afterwards so it'd fit what they did with there. Spacing out 3D Mario and Pokemon is also a good idea so they don't steal thunder from each other.

 

[Yrassinad]

Not to mention put way more pressure on Sony because people spending money on SW locks them in harder to the Nintendo ecosystem.

Nintendo doesn't work like that, they do whatever the fuck they want lol. Neither of these two companies is basing their decisions on the other. Also, now you suddenly believe in ecosystem lock in?

 

[heroeskillrats]

Nintendo doesn't work like that

Of course they do. It's why they market third party shit

Also, now you suddenly believe in ecosystem lock in?

I think it's insanely overrated when people are talking about SW only. It's the same reason why I don't believe what Sony's doing is smart at all because there's tens of millions that bought physical games so Sony switching to digital only fucks them over. Nintendo doesn't have any of that friction, only place to get physical, NS2 didn't screw over NS1 owners, best place to play in general for essentially all genres except the PC genres like RTS. Like Nintendo having 10 years of no competition definitely locks people in far more than 3 companies releasing consoles all at the same time and then what people are buying is physical games that becomes completely useless in the future anyways but historically those things never happened.

 

[64bitmodels]

i wonder what they're going to release for 2027 besides the new kirby and metroid
i'm not very interested in the OOT remake but Splatoon Raiders is borderline a system seller for me as a splatoon fan
I hope they follow it up with Switch 2 exclusive splatoon 4. i want to see where they can take the series now that they're off wii u hardware

 

[Danja]

Damn Star Fox flopped

 

[Petekilla]

i wonder what they're going to release for 2027 besides the new kirby and metroid
i'm not very interested in the OOT remake but Splatoon Raiders is borderline a system seller for me as a splatoon fan
I hope they follow it up with Switch 2 exclusive splatoon 4. i want to see where they can take the series now that they're off wii u hardware

Pokemon is confirmed for next year. Hopefully 3D Mario is next year.

 

[heroeskillrats]

Splatoon Raiders is borderline a system seller for me as a splatoon fan

10/10 in my opinion, the only change I'd make is they should give weapons and things way more generously. When you get the game be careful what you upgrade because those gems or whatever become very limited overall. Only weapons you should truly upgrade are the primo 5 star weapons, especially if it's your favorite class.

Hopefully 3D Mario is next year.

natethehate says it's 2027 so I believe him.

 

[Yrassinad]

Of course they do. It's why they market third party shit

They market third party shit because it helps them sell their product and make money, not because of some desire to derail Sony lmao.

I think it's insanely overrated when people are talking about SW only. It's the same reason why I don't believe what Sony's doing is smart at all because there's tens of millions that bought physical games so Sony switching to digital only fucks them over. Nintendo doesn't have any of that friction, only place to get physical, NS2 didn't screw over NS1 owners, best place to play in general for essentially all genres except the PC genres like RTS. Like Nintendo having 10 years of no competition definitely locks people in far more than 3 companies releasing consoles all at the same time and then what people are buying is physical games that becomes completely useless in the future anyways but historically those things never happened.

All of what you say is completely irrelevant. It's not like a PS owner who built up a physical library can take their library to the Switch 2 instead. They have to start from scratch on both platforms, except in reality most people are not 100% physical and have a decent amount of digital content either from PS+ game redemptions or stuff they've bought maybe on super deep sales (or indies that only released digitally).

Also Switch 2 is not the "best place to play in general" because its hardware is far less powerful than what you can get on either PS, Xbox or PC. Not to mention that many games don't even come to the platform to begin with. It's good if you care about Nintendo games and indies primarily.

And as much as I personally care about physical media, even in this Nintendo quarter they are now at 61% digital. Like I don't agree with hand waving physical as irrelevant like some people on this board do, but you're the complete opposite and think it's like some sort of secret sauce that will guarantee industry dominance. A majority of consumers just don't care about it. Do I agree with the idea that just because a majority doesn't care the option should be removed entirely? Obviously not, but in terms of sales prospects it's not going to have a major effect.

 

[heroeskillrats]

I'll post it here as well because it's relevant but I'll also make a thread about it

"According to Nintendo president Shuntaro Furukawa, the company is not currently thinking about another price increase for Switch 1. The news was shared during a financial results briefing today.
The system increased from $450 to $500 a little while back. The move was made in response to rising memory costs. While other consoles have seen multiple price increases, that’s not currently in the cards for Nintendo Switch 2.
Speaking of memory, Nintendo said today that there has been no major change to the memory situation. The company is in a position to secure sufficient quantities, Furukawa said.
Switch 2 hardware sales during the most recent quarter and Nintendo’s profits took at dip. However, it shouldn’t be a major concern at this time based on other data that’s circulating.
Despite factors like the price increase, Nintendo Switch 2 is still outpacing Switch 1 in terms of hardware sales. In fact, the newer console has been on top almost every quarter when you line up their launches."

Nintendo says it's not considering another Switch 2 price increase and has enough quantities for memory, system still outpacing Switch 1

According to Nintendo president Shuntaro Furukawa, the company is not currently thinking about another price increase for Switch 1. The news was shared during a financial results briefing today. The system increased from $450 to $500 a little while back. The move was made in response to rising...

nintendoeverything.com

 

[heroeskillrats]

not because of some desire to derail Sony

Well, Nintendo's not doing it because of Xbox. They're doing it because of Sony.

They have to start from scratch on both platforms

Bro so what. If people want FF7 remakes they cost less than $20 to get both. You talk about this like it's some crazy investment when the reality is third party shit is cheap as hell and because of physical they also have to care about pricing. There's no monopoly.
Plenty has already invested 5-10 years by the time Sony launches their PS handheld. You're delusional if you don't think that's a massive advantage for Nintendo.

And as much as I personally care about physical media, even in this Nintendo quarter they are now at 61% digital.

Stop the cope. I buy cheap digital games despite caring about physical because the prices go so low you might as well when they cost practically nothing. But $50-80 physical vs $3-20 digital is a huge difference in cost for consumers.

A majority of consumers just don't care about it.

Now that's Sony's cope lol. People care about physical and always will. Sony can go fuck themselves.

 

[Yrassinad]

Well, Nintendo's not doing it because of Xbox. They're doing it because of Sony.

No, like I said, they're doing it because it benefits their own business. It's not some sort of pass at Sony, stop being ridiculous. They make money if someone buys Final Fantasy on their hardware, that's all there's to it. Sony isn't marketing third party games to attack Nintendo or Xbox either. I mean the whole premise is stupid as fuck, considering those games are also available on rival platforms.

Bro so what. If people want FF7 remakes they cost less than $20 to get both. You talk about this like it's some crazy investment when the reality is third party shit is cheap as hell and because of physical they also have to care about pricing. There's no monopoly.
Plenty has already invested 5-10 years by the time Sony launches their PS handheld. You're delusional if you don't think that's a massive advantage for Nintendo.

You are the one acting like people are going to drop PlayStation because they have physical games that seemingly won't be supported on PS6? The FF7 Remake games are <$20 on PlayStation too. So if the argument is that it's easy to leave behind their physical PS library because they can rebuy their games for cheap on Switch 2, they can do the same on PS6. Except on PS6 they'll also be able to use their save data, have their trophy progress, their friends list and any digital content they've already bought or gotten as part of PS+ benefits before.

And again, it seems you believe in ecosystem lock in when it comes to Nintendo but hand wave any notion that the same is true for PlayStation. If you think 5-10 years of investment is somehow a boon for Nintendo, how the fuck are you ignoring the fact that PlayStation's gonna launch a device to people who have upwards of 14 years invested?

Stop the cope. I buy cheap digital games despite caring about physical because the prices go so low you might as well when they cost practically nothing. But $50-80 physical vs $3-20 digital is a huge difference in cost for consumers.

Yeah this is what you always do, you think you represent the average consumer. You do not. Most people don't hate PlayStation, think Nintendo is the best thing ever, pirate every game when given the opportunity and so on. I don't represent the average consumer either. I drop $1000+ on games in a year, I buy almost everything physically. I have invested in two separate platforms.

The average consumer doesn't care much about physical games, don't care much about IP they're missing out on because they don't know what they're missing and don't spend their time on forums or on YouTube hearing about all these great games they're supposedly missing out on etc.

Now that's Sony's cope lol. People care about physical and always will. Sony can go fuck themselves.

Do you understand the word majority? PC has been digital for 20 years and is growing faster than consoles, Nintendo included. The most popular games are sometimes digital only (Fortnite, Roblox, Marvel Rivals etc). You're once again thinking like someone in the 2000s. Physical is nice but it's definitely not influencing people's purchasing decisions nearly as much anymore.

 

[heroeskillrats]

they're doing it because it benefits their own business

It benefits them because it hurts the competition. Console business is a zero sum game

how the fuck are you ignoring the fact that PlayStation's gonna launch a device to people who have upwards of 14 years invested?

How discs gonna benefit digital only systems, dummy

Do you understand the word majority? PC has been digital for 20 years and is growing faster than consoles

PC basically went from 1 to 2. PC being digital only is nothing like consoles. Consoles always had physical.

 

[64bitmodels]

Damn Star Fox flopped

Expected. A weird looking remake of the n64 game that's already been remade a ton wouldn't sell well. Apparently they have an actual new star fox game for next year which sounds more interesting

 

[Dr. E99]

Expected. A weird looking remake of the n64 game that's already been remade a ton wouldn't sell well. Apparently they have an actual new star fox game for next year which sounds more interesting

Wait…when was StarFox 64 ever remade? All I can remember is the 3DS port

 

[Dr. E99]

Switch 2 hw sales actually performing better than Switch 1. Did not expect that.

 

[Yrassinad]

It benefits them because it hurts the competition. Console business is a zero sum game

No, this is an utterly retarded way of looking at things. They'd still be doing it even if no other console existed.

And consoles are not a zero sum game because plenty of people own multiple consoles. And in Nintendo's case they've been pretty good at attracting people from outside the established customer base of Xbox/PS, instead of wasting all their time and effort on trying to dislodge people from those platforms.

How discs gonna benefit digital only systems, dummy

You act like everyone has a massive library of discs. They do not. The majority of game sales are digital these days. And even people who buy as much on disc as possible will still have plenty of digital content. I buy pretty much everything on disc but my DLC, my save files and so on are digital. I have hundreds of games from being subscribed to PS+ in digital format. I could switch to Switch 2 easily because I've also been building up a Switch library since the Switch 1, but for people who haven't done that jumping to a digital-only PlayStation that doesn't take their discs still makes way more sense than jumping to a Switch 2 where they not only can't use their discs but none of their digital content either.

PC basically went from 1 to 2. PC being digital only is nothing like consoles. Consoles always had physical.

PC also always had physical until it didn't, what a dumb statement.

Wait…when was StarFox 64 ever remade? All I can remember is the 3DS port

Almost every Star Fox game is a remake lol. Star Fox 64 is a reimagining of the original game on the SNES and then you had Star Fox 3D and Star Fox Zero which are a remake/reimagining of SF64.

 

[heroeskillrats]

And consoles are not a zero sum game because plenty of people own multiple consoles.

It's delusional to think this will be the case during gen 10. Switch 2 is $500, PS6 and PS handheld will be $1000 easily.
I thought people would dip before, all this only makes it much more certain. Console prices are too high and it'll favor Nintendo the most.

You act like everyone has a massive library of discs.

I've explained why physical matters enough times. People are just wrong if they believe it doesn't matter.
I just got Ocarina of Time physical by the way, the limited foil looks extremely awesome and Sony's never gonna have anything like this ever again.

PC also always had physical until it didn't, what a dumb statement.

lol. PC sections were always tiny compared to console sections.

 

[Yrassinad]

It's delusional to think this will be the case during gen 10. Switch 2 is $500, PS6 and PS handheld will be $1000 easily.
I thought people would dip before, all this only makes it much more certain. Console prices are too high and it'll favor Nintendo the most.

You're the only one moronic enough to see Switch 2 as a gen 10 device and a direct competitor to the PS6. It's a late-to-the-party gen 9 console that mostly lives in its own bubble, just like the Switch 1.

Either way, console platforms promote third party games to make money. Not to take shots at rival consoles where those same games are also available. Like I said, even if no other consoles existed whoever would be left would still be promoting these games just as much. The only reason you think like this is because third party support is something novel for you and something you've been trained not to expect since you're a Nintendo fanboy lol. It might be mindblowing for you, but for the rest of us it's been what we've had for 20+ years.

I've explained why physical matters enough times. People are just wrong if they believe it doesn't matter.
I just got Ocarina of Time physical by the way, the limited foil looks extremely awesome and Sony's never gonna have anything like this ever again.

I've had OOT foil physical since yesterday. I also got the foil version of Hades on PS5. Not sure what's your point.

You and I might care about this stuff but most people don't. Stop thinking what you see on these boards is representative for sentiments in the wider market. You're analyzing all this stuff through a 20-year-old lens as usual.

lol. PC sections were always tiny compared to console sections.

Because PC was less popular than consoles until console and PC game development became sort of homogenized during gen 9. Doesn't change the fact that PC used to have physical releases for everything until it didn't. The fact that it's been an all-digital platform for 20 years hasn't held people back from investing in it and it's now growing much faster than console gaming is and will surpass the console market (of which both PlayStation and Nintendo only control parts of) in a few years.

 

[heroeskillrats]

and a direct competitor to the PS6

It is, no matter how angry and upset it makes you feel. Just get over it.