Phil Spencer: Microsoft subsidizes the cost [of Xbox consoles] to the tune of $100 to $200 per console

BigMclargeHuge

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That's what I've been arguing in favor of the whole time 🤣. Was wondering why so many other answers I've seen on the topic do not factor in something like oversupply of Xbox systems in the distribution channels (namely Series S).

But it might be better to phrase that loss (MS calls it a subsidy but same difference) not as oversupply, but nonoptimal supply, or poor distribution of Series units in various markets, as you've put it. Your example WRT Ireland is exactly the type of phenomenon I'm talking about lending credence to the idea part of that cost Phil's giving is a general loss (averaged out) across the systems due to misplaced supply in several global markets.

Though I personally also think simple oversupply in general of Series S systems (relative to demand) might be a part of that as well.
I've seen series x consoles on store shelves once, never ps5, but series s are always on store shelves. Switches as well, but that's to be expected.
 

ethomaz

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Weird because Sony is making money on PS5 even before price increase
Let’s be a bit more realistic here.

PS5 with disc was probably profitable (and very little) around middle 2021… before that it wasn’t and after the changes in global economy (increase price in parts and issues with the currency exchanges) it become non-profitable again. Plus PS5 DE was never profitable.

That lead toa increase in price in key markets except US.

Taking US alone as base (where there is no price rise) I believe PS5 cost to Sony in middle 2021 was around $475… today it is probably around $525 or a bit more… that including the move to 6nm because in 7nm it could be even more expensive.

Components all rise in price due the global economy and that affected all devices including videogame consoles.

If even Sony I believe is today subsiding PS5 with a 270mm2 chip in 6nm imagine a Xbox with a chip of 380m2.

I believe in Phil in that case… Series S cost is probably around $400 and Series X cost is probably around $700.

PS5 DE and PS5 are probably around the same framerate j cost terms (the BD disc drive costs less than $20) and I believe it is around $550.
 
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Let’s be a bit more realistic here.

PS5 with disc was probably profitable (and very little) around middle 2021… before that it wasn’t and after the changes in global economy (increase price in parts and issues with the currency exchanges) it become non-profitable again. Plus PS5 DE was never profitable.

This much I feel holds true, and was probably the case up to that point.

Taking US alone as base (where there is no price rise) I believe PS5 cost to Sony in middle 2021 was around $475… today it is probably around $525 or a bit more… that including the move to 6nm because in 7nm it could be even more expensive.

I thought the main selling point of 6nm was that it was going to be cheaper than 7nm? When did that change?

Components all rise in price due the global economy and that affected all devices including videogame consoles.

If even Sony I believe is today subsiding PS5 with a 270mm2 chip in 6nm imagine a Xbox with a chip of 380m2.

I believe in Phil in that case… Series S cost is probably around $400 and Series X cost is probably around $700.

PS5 DE and PS5 are probably around the same framerate j cost terms (the BD disc drive costs less than $20) and I believe it is around $550.

I mean, is it possible? Yeah. But I really don't see Series X in particular costing $700 in total manufacturing costs. For one, I think the APU is more like 360 mm2 not 380mm2 or at least that's what tech dudes who did analysis on the APU scans like last year or so.

Maybe Series S does push closer to $400 to produce but I can't see Series X pushing near $700; the APU costs between PS5's original 320 mm2 and Series X's 360 mm2 would not result in anything like that price difference for starters, and if disc PS5 was already profitable by mid 2021 then at some point shortly after launch production, assembly etc. costs were under $499 for that system and Series X's maybe were around $535 - $549 in total (IMO).

If 6nm is more expensive than 5nm I'm not necessarily sure the price increase per mm2 is THAT much, and increase in component pricing would just affect things aside of the APU. All that in addition to, MS (and Sony) usually sign contracts for supplies in bulk for a decent amount of time covered, at prices legally binding at the time the contracts are signed.

Sure the contracts vary depending on manufacturer and product but for Series X to be costing MS $700 to manufacture would require (IMO) virtually ALL of their signed contracts having expired, all of the components they needed to re-up on contracts for increasing in price, all of their suppliers being particularly price-gouging, AND orders on Series X consoles dropping so much that the bulk pricing for wafers on even 7nm would noticeably increase. And personally I think only the last of those four would have occurred (and some of the second point, FWIW).
 
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ethomaz

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I thought the main selling point of 6nm was that it was going to be cheaper than 7nm? When did that change?
6nm is actually expensive than 7nm... the process and wafer sold by TSMC is expensive... with the actual price rises 7nm costs around $11k per wafer while 5nm costs around $17k per wafer... that is the price at TSMC without count what AMD ask to Sony.... 6nm is somehow between but TSMC didn't share the price yet (or I could not find it digging in chinese sites).

BTW TSMC plan another 5-9% price rise in 2023 and 20-25% until 2025.

But 6nm allow the chip to be smaller (300mm2 vs 270mm2) and that alone probably compensate the rise in cost of the wafer due having more chips per wafer and and probably 6nm is more efficient than 7nm (think like the numbers of chips that are good to be used in a PS5).

I have a guess the Sony move to 6nm is more due efficiency and have more chips good to PS5 per wafer than cost.

PS. You are right about Series X chip size... it is officially by MS 360.45mm2... PS5 is around 302mm2 not 320mm2.
 
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ethomaz

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Just to add.

AMD Ryzen 9 7950X has a 140mm2 (2 CCD... each 70mm2) die size in 5nm.
AMD pays to TSMC $17000 per 5nm wafer... that makes AMD CCD costs around $20-25... each Ryzen 9 uses 2 CCD that gives you $40-50 plus the 122mm2 I/O chiplet made in 6nm probably increased the total cost of production for this chip around $70?

It gives an ideia how much costs a chip nowdays.

TMSC 3nm costs $3000 more than 5nm... $20000.

Just remember nVidia rejected to use TSMC 5nm for RTX 4000 because it was too expensive so they decided to use 7nm.

Edit - I could not find the 6nm price... I found the 2021 prices before the price rise "In 2021, the ASP was $10,775 for 7nm wafers and $14,104 for 5nm wafers"... we know the 5nm increased to $16,998 so 7nm is probably around $12k? TSMC had a 10-20% price increase in all nodes in March 2022.
 
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