Sucker Punch released less than 2 years ago the Director's Cut / PS5 version / Ikki Island expansion, and around half a year before the GoT Legends big MP game mode, and a few months before (3 years ago) the GoT game itself.
I think they won't show GoT2 this week, but instead may announce the GoT1 PC port.
I think they'll wait a year or two more before showing GoT2 because I think it's likely to see it released H2 2025 or 2026 unless (something I highly doubt) it's a PS4 looking game without high end PS5 visuals.
I think Sony will release the PC port later this or next year, and will wait until releasing Rise of the Ronin before showing the GoT2 game, even if they always can show a cg logo teaser (but I highly doubt it because Sony has many other big announcements with a more appropiate timing to show them).
TLOU3 won’t be at the event.
Obvious, they have to show TLOU Online instead. Unless the final name of TLOU Online is TLOU3, something I highly doubt.
Not long ago Druckmann said he wrote a first draft of the main TLOU3 story just in case some day in the future they would decide to develop it, meaning that a few years ago it wasn't even in preproduction. So even if they'd have started it, they wouldn't be in a point to show the game, it would be in preproduction.
I think their next project (in addition to TLOU Online) to be announced will be Uncharted game with the daughter teased in the Live at PS5 campaign, a game that should be developed by someone else once Bend left the project.
But I don't know who, the whole Bluepoint worked on GoWR until around half a year ago. SSM maybe? Maybe the 'new' IP from Cory is an Uncharted reboot sequel with with the daughter, in the same way he rebooted with a sequel GoW? He has a small daughter so maybe he wanted to make a game for her? I bet he's working on a brand new IP but who knows. If ND (and Hermen) has to trust enough someone to give them Uncharted outside Bend or Bluepoint I think the only option is SSM.
Other than that, I think that the next one from ND will be a brand new IP.
4-5 really big games, no more.
If they show too much, people will forget some of them...
You just really need a few really great 1st party showings, bolstered by a few great 3rd party games and a few interesting indies. Quality over quantity.
Big first party announcements:
- Spider-Man 2 gameplay debut
- Wolverine gameplay debut
- TLOU Online announcement & gameplay debut
- Firewalk's new IP announcement & gameplay debut
- Cory's new IP announcement & gameplay debut
- Bungie's new IP announcement & gameplay debut
Third party announcements:
- Silent Hill The Short Message announcement & shadowdrop of at least a demo
- Mortal Kombat 1 gameplay debut
- Pragmata gameplay debut & release date
- Final Fantasy VII Rebirth gameplay debut & release date
- Avatar gameplay debut & release date
Indies:
- Ueda's next game announcement