First let's see if they release it on PC or not.
Some people had the theory that they would port their GaaS games faster on PC (something I'd understand). But Dreams, MLB, Destruction All Stars and Gran Turismo 7 are not announced for PC.
I think PS5 only games like Returnal, Ratchet Rift Apart or Demon's Sous will take way longer to be ported, I think they'll prefer to keep them as PS5 unique selling points for a while, and until then to release ports of PS4 games (some of them remade/remastered like the Uncharteds, TLOU or Spider-Man) before they get too old.
I think the Ghost of Tsushima port will be released months before its movie or sequel releases as a PS5 only game.
I thought a PS5 version of TLOU2 was going to be released bundled with TLOU1 remake or their TLOU online game to promote the tv show, but seems it won't be the case. So probably they'll wait for a PS5+PC remaster/"Director's Cut" of TLOU2 with maybe TLOU1 bundled as extra content a few months before the season 2 of the tv series goes live.
I think that for the next fiscal year we may see as the next PC ports Bloodborne (with a PS5 version half a year or so released with extra content), MLB23 -they only day one and published by MLB, an exception-, Uncharted Nathan Drake Collection (I feel weird they didn't release it before the current collection), Dreams (a few monts after it gets a PS5/PSVR2 version) and if lucky Sackboy. After them at the end of the FY but more probably in the next FY there would be TLOU2.
I think Elden Ring already won the goty, doesn't matter if GoWR is better than GoW 2018 or Elden Ring. It's multi and the MS and PC fans won't have any goty candidate exclusive to vote. Nintendo fans will get instead as always their "inclusivity representation" as one of their final nominees (games that wouldn't be there if weren't Nintendo exclusives) but if not their vote will be split between Bayonetta, Pokemon and Splatoon 3. Sony's fans instead will have their vote mostly on GoWR but split with Horizon 2 and GT7.
So everything combined, I think will win Elden Ring. I also think that even if both GoWR and Elden Ring end being as good equallly, and same amount of people would have played them, I think people would also favor Elden Ring for being a new IP and having added open world to their genre while GoWR is going to be pretty likely an awesome game but a direct, coninuist sequel that won't add such big chang to its series and genre.
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