What are your predictions for the rest of this generation?

[Hobbygaming]

By 2027 Microsoft will have actual robots that look like humans (think Terminator) do all of their Xbox/Gamepass promoting but someone will find out when one of the robots glitches out and only repeats "Gamepass one dollar" and "I love Phil"

Now to the serious topic

A comment made by @peter42O gave me the idea to make this thread. I disagree that Xbox will lead in the US by the end of this gen and I think that Gamepass will fail to be the "revolution" that Microsoft is hoping it'll be

I see PS5 continuing to gain momentum through having the stronger AAA titles while the Xbox Series X will try to get a lot more smaller titles to fill their service to go with a few AAA games

PS5 will sell more units, more games and Xcloud will be forgotten like Kinect lol

What do you think?

 

[Swift_Star]

Gamepass already failed to be said revolution. The contents are barebones as it is and all major games are delayed. PS+ is massively better in value than GP. Currently, only NSO is worse than GP. MS failed in securing that dreamed lead as they usually do.

 

[adamsapple]

1. Game Pass will continue to be the best deal in gaming for the foreseeable future.
2. Activision's inclusion in MS's first party will be a big change in the landscape, if the deal goes through.
3. Starfield will be the best RPG of 2023.

Gamepass already failed to be said revolution. The contents are barebones as it is and all major games are delayed.

 

[peter42O]

My predictions -

MICROSOFT
- Game Pass will have at least 100m subscribers when next generation starts which my estimate is November 2028.
- Microsoft published games will have a higher Open Critic average score than Sony published games. Microsoft will also publish more games than Sony this generation.
- Excluding already existing contracts and announcements, all future Activision and Blizzard games will be fully exclusive to Xbox/PC/Cloud. This will include the main line COD games.
- Once fully exclusive (my guess is Fall 2024), COD will be a platform and have campaigns and MP content added to it in order to avoid having every damn studio inside Activision and Blizzard working on the damn thing.
- With the above, Microsoft will kill off Gold completely. They will merge current Gold only subscribers into Game Pass Ultimate for the duration of their remaining subscription. This will not only increase the Game Pass subscriber count but also make online co-op and multi-player completely free. I believe this starts in Fall 2024 with the release of the first exclusive main line COD game.
- Microsoft will acquire a few more development studios that develop and release games in genres where Microsoft is weak in - platformers, kids games, fighters, etc.
- Microsoft will acquire one more major AAA third party publisher. I'm hoping for Ubisoft or WB with all of DC but my money is on Electronic Arts.
- Microsoft will win in North America by more 5m but less than 10m in overall console sales.
- Microsoft will cut the gap in Europe by around half. Instead of losing by 33m or so like last generation, they lose by 15-17m.
- Microsoft will win at least two overall game of the year awards this generation.

SONY
- Sony will release their exclusives on PC day one before the current generation ends.
- Sony will release their AA exclusives on PS+ Extra and higher.
- Sony will do good in Japan but still decline compared to last generation.
- PSVR 2 will be good tech wise but unless Sony commits to exclusives for it from their main internal studios, it won't take off.
- PS5 will sell over 100m consoles worldwide but will end up being 3rd best all time behind PS2 and PS4 respectively.
- Sony will buy several more AA development studios. My money is on Deviation Games, Ember Lab and a few others.
- Sony will not acquire Square Enix but instead, make a long term deal with them in regards to keeping Final Fantasy XIV, Final Fantasy VII Rebirth, Final Fantasy XVI and Final Fantasy VII (finale) fully console exclusive for the entire generation with an option to continue this with the main line Final Fantasy series going into the next generation. Due to the success of this deal, Sony will exercise this option.
- Sony will acquire NetherRealm and the Mortal Kombat IP from Discovery Warner.
- Sony's internal first party studios will release more new IP's than they did during the PS4 generation.
- Sony will win at least two overall game of the year awards this generation with Naughty Dog and Santa Monica Studio winning at least one each.

 

[Swift_Star]

My predictions -

MICROSOFT
- Game Pass will have at least 100m subscribers when next generation starts which my estimate is November 2028.

 

[ksdixon]

A sad prediction I have is that someone will try to come in, like Apple or Google and take some (probable multiplatform) devs/pubs upon entry, able to outbid even MS probably. (See: Facebook owning Ready At Dawn, AMZ owning Double Helix.) It's half the reason you want to poke Jim Ryan with a stick and check that he's not Tortoising and the Hare'ing this shit based on the back of PS4's success.

TenCent I kind of see like a fungus, trying to invest in everyone just enough as to be indispensable. Wildcard is Saudi royalty.

Embracer and it's hydra of sub-companies arent fattening themselves up for market are they?

 

[Hobbygaming]

My predictions -

MICROSOFT
- Game Pass will have at least 100m subscribers when next generation starts which my estimate is November 2028.
- Microsoft published games will have a higher Open Critic average score than Sony published games. Microsoft will also publish more games than Sony this generation.
- Excluding already existing contracts and announcements, all future Activision and Blizzard games will be fully exclusive to Xbox/PC/Cloud. This will include the main line COD games.
- Once fully exclusive (my guess is Fall 2024), COD will be a platform and have campaigns and MP content added to it in order to avoid having every damn studio inside Activision and Blizzard working on the damn thing.
- With the above, Microsoft will kill off Gold completely. They will merge current Gold only subscribers into Game Pass Ultimate for the duration of their remaining subscription. This will not only increase the Game Pass subscriber count but also make online co-op and multi-player completely free. I believe this starts in Fall 2024 with the release of the first exclusive main line COD game.
- Microsoft will acquire a few more development studios that develop and release games in genres where Microsoft is weak in - platformers, kids games, fighters, etc.
- Microsoft will acquire one more major AAA third party publisher. I'm hoping for Ubisoft or WB with all of DC but my money is on Electronic Arts.
- Microsoft will win in North America by more 5m but less than 10m in overall console sales.
- Microsoft will cut the gap in Europe by around half. Instead of losing by 33m or so like last generation, they lose by 15-17m.
- Microsoft will win at least two overall game of the year awards this generation.

SONY
- Sony will release their exclusives on PC day one before the current generation ends.
- Sony will release their AA exclusives on PS+ Extra and higher.
- Sony will do good in Japan but still decline compared to last generation.
- PSVR 2 will be good tech wise but unless Sony commits to exclusives for it from their main internal studios, it won't take off.
- PS5 will sell over 100m consoles worldwide but will end up being 3rd best all time behind PS2 and PS4 respectively.
- Sony will buy several more AA development studios. My money is on Deviation Games, Ember Lab and a few others.
- Sony will not acquire Square Enix but instead, make a long term deal with them in regards to keeping Final Fantasy XIV, Final Fantasy VII Rebirth, Final Fantasy XVI and Final Fantasy VII (finale) fully console exclusive for the entire generation with an option to continue this with the main line Final Fantasy series going into the next generation. Due to the success of this deal, Sony will exercise this option.
- Sony will acquire NetherRealm and the Mortal Kombat IP from Discovery Warner.
- Sony's internal first party studios will release more new IP's than they did during the PS4 generation.
- Sony will win at least two overall game of the year awards this generation with Naughty Dog and Santa Monica Studio winning at least one each.

GP 100 million subs?

 

[Sircaw]

My predictions are as follows.

- Icon-era growth by 2026 will continue to grow, surpassing Gamepass numbers by 30 million.
- Starfield will release in 2027 with 10/10 reviews on windows central and Ign. 7/10 on all other sites.
- @adamsapple will finally turn Rogue in 2023 after the Xbox ambassador program closes down.
- @PurpleSky will change his/her/its/they/their/zan/zune (Hope I got those names all covered you Furry) name to black-sky after finally watching Daredevil.
- @Aeorath, the icon-era official cat would have died from fleas, only to be replaced by @catlady from gaf who is now a dedicated sony lover.(still a fleabag)
- @Bryank75 will sell Icon-era becoming a multi-millionaire in the process.
- @Ownership of Icon-era will be taken over by @Craigofwar
- Arron Greenberg will leave Microsoft to become the new star of man vs food 2

 

[ethomaz]

- We will get a PS6 directly without PS5 Pro (or the PS5 Pro will just be an PS5 revision just like Nintendo did with Switch OLED).

- PS5 first-party games will sell some crazy numbers… number never saw before.

- Sony first-party games on PC won’t sell gangbuster but it will be in the low single digit millions.

- PSVR2 will break 20 million devices sold.

- Bungie will again show something and have gigantic success and all the industry will want to clone it.

- Gamepass will reach an stagnation point and I have no ideia what MS will do.

 

[kyliethicc]

Knack 3

Game over.

 

[Hobbygaming]

My predictions are as follows.

- Icon-era growth by 2026 will continue to grow, surpassing Gamepass numbers by 30 million.
- Starfield will release in 2027 with 10/10 reviews on windows central and Ign. 7/10 on all other sites.
- @adamsapple will finally turn Rogue in 2023 after the Xbox ambassador program closes down.
- @PurpleSky will change his/her/its/they/their/zan/zune (Hope I got those names all covered you Furry) name to black-sky after finally watching Daredevil.
- @Aeorath, the icon-era official cat would have died from fleas, only to be replaced by @catlady from gaf who is now a dedicated sony lover.(still a fleabag)
- @Bryank75 will sell Icon-era becoming a multi-millionaire in the process.
- @Ownership of Icon-era will be taken over by @Craigofwar
- Arron Greenberg will leave Microsoft to become the new star of man vs food 2

 

[Hobbygaming]

Knack 3

Game over.

 

[nominedomine]

What I wish to happen:

- PSVR2 will make VR reasonably mainstream.

- Sony will release another portable that plays PS4 games.


What I predict will happen:

- ND next game will win the most awards ever for a video game.

- MS Studios will continue to be terrible at producing games.

- Starfall will be the next Fallout 76.

- MS will give up on Xbox completely before the next generation and become just a big third party publisher.

- Games will be released that run on the Series X but not on the Series S. They'll stop producing the Series S before 2025 is over.

- Phil Spencer will be replaced, sued and arrested for fraud.

It's much easier to predict what is going to happen to MS, with Sony and Jimbo I don't know what to expect yet.

I want to say that the successor of the Switch will be an even bigger success but with Nintendo you never know.

My predictions -

MICROSOFT
- Game Pass will have at least 100m subscribers when next generation starts which my estimate is November 2028.

Dude, that ain't ever going to happen. Gamepass growth has already slowed to crawl and that's before it ever reached 30m, they are running short of options as far as pushing this service, what else is even left that they haven't tried? Paying people to subscribe?

- Gamepass will reach an stagnation point and I have no ideia what MS will do.

That's just the present.

- Excluding already existing contracts and announcements, all future Activision and Blizzard games will be fully exclusive to Xbox/PC/Cloud. This will include the main line COD games.

I want this so bad, it would both simultaneously destroy the Xbox division while also getting rid of CoD on PlayStation. Win win. Do it Phil, one last huge fuck up before you go.

All Activision is able to produce now is CoD by the way and it will take half a decade if not more for Blizzard to have something for consoles besides Diablo 4. Xbox will likely be dead by then.

 

[peter42O]

Dude, that ain't ever going to happen. Gamepass growth has already slowed to crawl and that's before it ever reached 30m, they are running short of options as far as pushing this service, what else is even left that they haven't tried? Paying people to subscribe?

There's 6+ years left in this generation and im very confident in my prediction or I wouldn't have said it. Just have to wait and see how it all plays out.

I want this so bad, it would both simultaneously destroy the Xbox division while also getting rid of CoD on PlayStation. Win win. Do it Phil, one last huge fuck up before you go.

All Activision is able to produce now is CoD by the way and it will take half a decade if not more for Blizzard to have something for consoles besides Diablo 4.

You're going to get your wish. I don't know why you think that COD being exclusive to Xbox would destroy the Xbox division. Activision only produces COD but once the annual shit ends and becomes just a platform, all the other studios can finally move on to other IP's.

 

[nominedomine]

There's 6+ years left in this generation and im very confident in my prediction or I wouldn't have said it. Just have to wait and see how it all plays out.

You're going to get your wish. I don't know why you think that COD being exclusive to Xbox would destroy the Xbox division. Activision only produces COD but once the annual shit ends and becomes just a platform, all the other studios can finally move on to other IP's.

Oh boy, you guys never learn. MS ain't saving Activision Blizzard, they are going to make SE management of Eidos look sensible. Phil could barely run the few studios he already had a few years ago, now the dude is in way over his head.

There is an obvious reason why Bethesda and Activision Blizzard wanted to be bought so badly, they saw what a mess they had in their hands (it's what most AAA publisher got themselves into, they can't put out games or keep up with what the audience expects at this point).

 

[The Legendary Warrior]

PlayStation & Xbox

Are tied going toe to toe with each other like the 'PS360' days.

Nintendo = They don't care, and are doing their own thing. Are no longer a competitor to PlayStation or Xbox.

PC will keep thriving while getting all the console exclusive ported over.


That is my prediction.

 

[peter42O]

Oh boy, you guys never learn. MS ain't saving Activision Blizzard, they are going to make SE management of Eidos look sensible. Phil could barely run the few studios he already had a few years ago, now the dude is in way over his head.

There is an obvious reason why Bethesda and Activision Blizzard wanted to be bought so badly, they saw what a mess they had in their hands (it's what most AAA publisher got themselves into, they can't put out games or keep up with what the audience expects at this point).

Guess we'll just have to wait and see how it all plays out.

 

[nominedomine]

Guess we'll just have to wait and see how it all plays out.

If you insist sure, I've seen it already multiple times.

 

[peter42O]

If you insist sure, I've seen it already multiple times.

That's all anyone can actually do. What you say and what I say is nothing more than an opinion as opposed to an actual fact. You believe they will fail and I believe they will succeed. To know which, we just have to wait and see how it goes.

 

[nominedomine]

That's all anyone can actually do. What you say and what I say is nothing more than an opinion as opposed to an actual fact. You believe they will fail and I believe they will succeed. To know which, we just have to wait and see how it goes.

I believe they already failed.