I think Brad Smith just confirmed
@Heisenberg007 and I's (and a few others') sales speculation for Xbox by end of 2022.
PS4 is officially at around 117.2 million, because I think Sony stopped reporting numbers sometime in 2022 for it. So I'm just going to use that. PS5 was around 30 million end of 2022. 147.2 million. We can even say maybe 32 million if the figure given by Sony in their earnings call was from an earlier period in January closer to the New Year. According to Brad Smith, that'd mean if PS4 & PS5 are around 147.2 - 149.2 million , XBO & Xbox Series were at best between ~66.15 million - 67 million sold-through by end of 2022.
And if XBO were around 50 million lifetime, then either XBO sold under 50 million LTD, or Xbox Series were at best at around 17 million sold-through by end of 2022. If XBO LTD is around 50 million (but at least 50 million), then at worst Series were around 16.15 million sold-through by end of last year.
Which also lets us know a few other things. For starters, that either the December Xbox numbers were even
lower than the November numbers,
OR that they're further behind cumulatively in UK (excusing 2022, where the sales gap was small) than first thought,
OR that ROTW is even less than 29.5% of total Xbox Series series,
OR a mixture of all three. What we do know is that Brad Smith gave these percentages, we can assume that are 8th & 9th gen combined for PS and Xbox, that PS4 production started winding down after March 2022, that PS4 official numbers are 117.2 million (if they have sold more since then I doubt it would have been more than 500K, and that would still only give a best-case of about 17.25 million Xbox Series sold-through by end of 2022), and that total Xbox One & Xbox Series numbers were between 66.15 million to 67 million sold-through end-of-2022.
Which, again, unless XBO sold under 50 million lifetime, and given Brad Smith's own global percentage numbers they presented today, means for absolute certainty Xbox Series were tracking behind XBO by the start of this. By a pretty chunky gap, at that (at least 1 million behind in sold-through launch-adjusted). This is the reason they didn't give any PR numbers for Series sales tracking relative XBO or even 360 (you would not compare to 360 but then skip XBO unless something was off) at their recent earnings call; we were right the entire time in figuring what range their actual sales numbers were at.
Also shout-out to the NPD leak for helping make this a good deal easier (from an Installbase member but, I don't want to get them in trouble so :/).