> "Xbox games going to PS & Nintendo & eventuality of day n date on those platforms"
you came at me for "gut feelings," do you really think Xbox will release day and date on PS and Nintendo? What makes you think that?
If the hardware sales situation for Xbox doesn't dramatically improve within the next 12-18 months, and/or Game Pass growth (mainly driven by console but also PC) doesn't grow by leaps and bounds in the same time span, then it's more or less 100% guaranteed Microsoft will start doing Day 1 PlayStation & Switch 2 releases for as many games as they possibly can (which would be all of their games).
Their current strategy is to stick with older games and smaller games to give themselves wiggle room, in case the situation for Xbox consoles and Game Pass does improve. But if either continue to lag behind significantly, it pushes the likelihood of Day 1 to PS & Nintendo anywhere between 70%-100%:
-Xbox console sales improve significantly, Game Pass grows substantially: Possible rollback of PlayStation & Nintendo ports, return to pre-2024 multiplatform strategy
-Xbox console sales improve significantly, Game Pass stalls/declines: Day 1 PS/Nintendo for slower B2P sellers on Xbox, longer port windows for bigger B2P sellers on Xbox, no ports for biggest B2P sellers on Xbox
-Xbox console sales stall/decline, Game Pass grows substantially: More PC exclusives with Xbox ports later (i.e Flight Sim, Ara 2 etc.), with PS/Nintendo ports of select games after Xbox ports
-Xbox console sales stall/decline, Game Pass stalls/declines: Day 1 releases of all games on Xbox/PlayStation/Nintendo platforms (and mobile when able), aside from one-off PC timed-exclusive releases (i.e Flight Sim, Ara 2).
Absolutely none of this should be considered a controversial take.