Completely forgot hogwarts was early access. I'm not doubting that Starfield is a commercial success, I think the game will break even. I wouldn't say that MS got 7 billion worth of gamepass subs from this one little game.Hogwarts was lower because there was 3 days early access but then it doubled on release. Starfield barely moved
If this game cost 400 million to develop/market, and lets take the high inaccurate estimate of 2 million sold for early access at $100 dollars, that only covers development costs.